Carson City area weather: thunderstorms possible through Thursday, not as hot July 4th weekend
C-Hill in Carson City at around 2:55 p.m. Tuesday.” data-medium-file=”https://i0.wp.com/www.carsonnow.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/07/Screen-Shot-2025-07-01-at-2.55.52-PM.png?fit=300%2C161&ssl=1″ data-large-file=”https://i0.wp.com/www.carsonnow.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/07/Screen-Shot-2025-07-01-at-2.55.52-PM.png?fit=780%2C420&ssl=1″ />
As clouds begin to form over the capital city, afternoon thunderstorms are possible Tuesday through Thursday for Carson City and surrounding counties. The July 4th holiday weekend, however, should bring sunshine with average to below average temperatures, according to the National Weather Service.
Making plans for the weekend? Temperatures are expected to cool to near normal or below normal areawide for July standards by Friday. However, shower and thunderstorm chances will continue through at least Thursday for Western Nevada and the Lake Tahoe Basin.
Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected Tuesday afternoon into evening, primarily for the Tahoe Basin and Western Nevada. The best chances for showers Tuesday (20-40 percent) will be in northern Washoe County, while the Tahoe Basin generally north of Mono County as well as the Reno, Carson City and Carson Valley areas, Minden area will have around 15-25 percent chance for showers and storms, with 5 to 15 percent chances elsewhere.
These storms have the potential for erratic gusts up to 50 mph and plenty of lightning. Locally heavy rain is possible inside the cores of thunderstorms, but storm motion is high enough to curtail flash flooding chances, forecasters said.
Though the temperature cool-down begins Wednesday with only minor HeatRisk, storm chances continue for Wednesday as the aforementioned low continues to track into the central Sierra. With the upper level support and instability, showers and storms will once again form in the afternoon and evening.
The chance for precipitation (15-25 percent) will become widespread across the eastern Sierra and much of western Nevada.
For Thursday into July 4th another upper trough moves through the area. The best chances (15-25 percent) for precipitation are mostly for northeast California and northwest Nevada on Thursday. There is an uptick in gusty west winds on Thursday and again on Friday with the passage of the trough. This will lead to possible recreation concerns on local lakes.
Temperatures will likely drop below seasonal averages for the holiday weekend, with mostly mid-80s to near 90 in western Nevada and 70s in the eastern Sierra communities on the 4th, with dry conditions for the weekend.
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